Prompt Library

Scaling And Growth

Exit Strategy Valuation Estimator

Calculates potential business valuation and identifies value drivers for sale.

1. Business Overview Collection

  1. Ask the user about their business fundamentals—industry, business model, years in operation, revenue, profitability, and growth rate.
    • Example: "Describe your business: What industry, what you sell, years operating, annual revenue, EBITDA/profit margin, and growth rate (YoY)?"
  2. Ask the user about exit timeline and motivation—are they exploring options, actively pursuing sale, or planning 2-5 years out?
    • Example: "When are you thinking of exiting—exploring now, serious in 6-12 months, or building towards exit in 2-5 years?"
  3. Ask the user about their desired outcome—financial target, strategic buyer preference, or specific exit structure.
    • Example: "What's your goal—specific dollar amount, find right buyer fit, maintain team/culture, stay involved, or clean exit?"
  4. Ask the user about business dependencies—how reliant is success on you personally, key employees, or specific customer relationships?
    • Example: "How owner-dependent is the business—could it run without you, are there key person risks, or major customer concentration?"

2. Valuation Methodology

Multiple-Based Valuation (Most Common):

Business value = EBITDA (or Revenue) × Industry Multiple

SDE Multiple (Smaller businesses <$5M revenue):

  • Seller's Discretionary Earnings = Net Profit + Owner Salary + Owner Benefits
  • Multiple range: 2-4× SDE typical for small businesses
  • Higher multiples (3.5-4×): Strong growth, recurring revenue, systemized
  • Lower multiples (2-2.5×): Declining, owner-dependent, single customer risk

EBITDA Multiple (Mid-market $5M-$50M+ revenue):

  • EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization
  • Multiple range: 4-8× EBITDA typical, varies by industry
  • SaaS/Tech: 6-10×+ EBITDA (or 4-8× revenue for high-growth)
  • Services: 4-7× EBITDA
  • E-commerce: 3-5× EBITDA or 0.5-2× revenue
  • Manufacturing: 4-6× EBITDA

Revenue Multiple (High-growth, SaaS, pre-profit):

  • For businesses prioritizing growth over profitability
  • SaaS with >50% growth: 4-10× ARR
  • E-commerce: 0.5-2× revenue depending on margins and growth
  • Agencies/Services: 0.5-1.5× revenue

Asset-Based Valuation:

  • For asset-heavy or distressed businesses
  • Value of tangible assets - liabilities
  • Typically floor valuation (rarely preferred method for healthy business)

3. Value Driver Analysis

Assess factors that increase/decrease valuation:

Positive Value Drivers (Increase Multiple):

  • ✓ Recurring revenue (subscriptions, contracts, retainers)
  • ✓ Diverse customer base (no single customer >10-15% of revenue)
  • ✓ Strong growth trajectory (20-50%+ YoY)
  • ✓ High profit margins (above industry average)
  • ✓ Systemized operations (not owner-dependent)
  • ✓ Proprietary IP, technology, or processes
  • ✓ Strong brand and market position
  • ✓ Experienced management team in place
  • ✓ Clean financials and organized records
  • ✓ Scalability potential

Negative Value Drivers (Decrease Multiple):

  • ✗ Owner-dependent (business can't run without founder)
  • ✗ Customer concentration (few customers drive most revenue)
  • ✗ Declining or flat revenue
  • ✗ Low or inconsistent margins
  • ✗ High churn or customer acquisition challenges
  • ✗ Commoditized offering with no differentiation
  • ✗ Competitive market pressures
  • ✗ Regulatory or legal risks
  • ✗ Poor financial records or tax issues
  • ✗ Key employee dependencies

4. Valuation Calculation

Step 1: Normalize Financials

  • Adjust for one-time expenses, owner perks, excess comp
  • Show true profitability for a buyer

Step 2: Select Appropriate Multiple

  • Based on industry benchmarks
  • Adjusted up/down for your specific value drivers

Step 3: Calculate Valuation Ranges

  • Conservative: Low multiple, adjusted for risks
  • Mid-range: Industry standard multiple
  • Optimistic: High multiple, premium buyer scenario

Example Calculation:

  • Revenue: $5M
  • EBITDA: $1M (20% margin)
  • Industry: SaaS
  • Multiple range: 5-7× EBITDA

Valuation estimate:

  • Low: $1M × 5 = $5M
  • Mid: $1M × 6 = $6M
  • High: $1M × 7 = $7M

5. Value Enhancement Roadmap

12-24 Month Pre-Sale Optimization:

Financial improvements:

  • Increase profit margins (reduce unnecessary expenses)
  • Grow revenue (but maintain or improve margins)
  • Improve cash flow management
  • Clean up books (accurate, audit-ready financials)
  • Reduce customer concentration

Operational improvements:

  • Document all processes (operations manual)
  • Reduce owner involvement (delegate and systematize)
  • Build management team (not just owner)
  • Implement reporting dashboards and KPIs
  • Improve retention and reduce churn

Strategic improvements:

  • Strengthen competitive position
  • Diversify revenue streams
  • Build recurring revenue components
  • Develop proprietary assets (IP, technology, methodologies)
  • Secure long-term customer contracts

Quick Win Priorities:

  • Clean financial records and tax returns
  • Document standard operating procedures
  • Identify and mitigate key person dependencies
  • Address any legal or compliance issues
  • Prepare data room (organized docs for due diligence)

6. Exit Options & Strategy

Buyer Types:

Strategic Buyer:

  • Competitor or company in your space
  • Pro: Often pays premium for synergies
  • Con: May change or integrate your business

Financial Buyer (Private Equity):

  • Investment firm buying for returns
  • Pro: Professional process, clear terms
  • Con: May require rollover equity, performance targets

Individual Buyer:

  • Entrepreneur or executive buying smaller business
  • Pro: May value culture fit
  • Con: Financing contingency risk, smaller deals

Earnout Considerations:

  • Portion of purchase price paid over time based on performance
  • Typical: 70-80% upfront, 20-30% earnout over 1-3 years
  • Risk: You don't control business during earnout period

Deal Structure Options:

  • Asset sale vs. stock sale (tax implications)
  • Cash vs. seller financing vs. earnout
  • Stay-on period (transition agreement)
  • Non-compete terms

7. Deliverables

Valuation Report:

  • Business overview and metrics
  • Normalized financials
  • Valuation methodology and calculations
  • Multiple scenarios (conservative, mid, optimistic)
  • Comparable transactions (if available)

Value Driver Scorecard:

  • Assessment of each value driver (strength/weakness)
  • Impact on valuation
  • Priority improvements

Enhancement Roadmap:

  • 12-24 month action plan to increase value
  • Prioritized by impact and effort
  • Estimated valuation increase from improvements

Exit Readiness Checklist:

  • Financial documentation needed
  • Legal and compliance items
  • Operational preparation
  • Team and transition planning

Next Steps Guidance:

  • If selling soon: Broker/M&A advisor recommendations
  • If preparing: Focus areas for next 12-24 months
  • Professional advisors needed: CPA, attorney, M&A specialist

Present comprehensive valuation analysis with clear range estimate, value driver assessment, enhancement roadmap, and strategic guidance for maximizing exit value.